not have to be obsessed with the topic like the great historical transformation of communication, but since I have I share information, and will update in the comments if you have news, though, the existence of recently discovered parlamentario.com me me becomes redundant.
Since yesterday we know that thanks to the local equivalent of what the Yankees called or pork barrel earmarking ( the breeder explains in English here ), a senator correntina happened - as we said Das Neves oscillating - thinking that the media law is dangerous for violating the right to be sarasa sarasa convinced that the law is an example of democracy supported by social organizations and other sarasa sarasa. others have been turned, but the important is it because he turned both general and particular. Voting in general is ganadísima , 40 and 20 and long shorts. The ground where the events beans one to one now and tomorrow at dawn is in the detailed approval of each item . There, many supporters in general have some disagreements, and the gap is narrowed, making the chances of any article of the draft as it stands today * change increase. This remember, generate the project have to re deputies, which is not necessarily a problem to pass the law so that I do not think at all to the world, but with the Kirchner wants nothing to do, largely because there are points which are not too willing to compromise. The strategy of the UCR or the PRO-Peronism is to change whatever it takes to kick the approval and say they "won" today, but in practice the law can go well, perhaps even improved (I would like to spend all licenses by the enforcement authority, for example, various other things I'd like really, but no one ever made so let's just discussion to which is on the table at this point-), if current support is maintained when deputies again.
Finally, let the numbers for those who want to follow.
I will divide the members into three groups: A) for all B) against C) in favor with dissent. The group C is one that can tip the balance in each allying with A or B. A total of 72 senators, and it is estimated that there are two absences (Urquía and Massoni, is also estimated that of the Corrientes Vigo but will especially morning of his medical license to join the bloc called here A), for which the sum A + the join of C will be given as much or more than 36 -If they are all sitting in their seats when voting, in each and every one of the articles for the draft becomes law on Saturday morning. If 35 to 35, tiebreaker against Cobos.
Block A, in favor in everything: the 38 Senate page listed as part of the FPV block least recently celebrated Jenefes, the Chubut Guinle and Giusti, the Troadello Mendoza, close to employer Avila media (we'll put in the group C) and absent Urquia correntina more we spoke, Dora Sánchez and Santiago del Estero Iturrez of Cappelini ally. 38 to 1 absent - 4 + 2 semirebeldes allies. Total = 35 .
Block B, against (taken from here , beneath it all): PJ dissident (10) + UCR (7) + number of loose (Colombo, Castillo, Rached, Alsina, Pinchetti, Carlos Rossi, Estenssoro and Verani = 9). Total = 26 . (If Menem kick-health issues is in question, and your vote is critical now that he was in doubt on the block to confirm their presence, will be 25)
Block C, for in general but against or doubt on some items : the 4 set of FPV plus PS Giustiniani, Lords of Neuquén Popular Movement, the bussista Salazar (who threw a few reasons as most incredible to be in favor of the law in general) and the two senators from ARI Tierra del Fuego, which is counting as Parlamentario.com favor without having a quote from his mouth to prove it. I guess menajerán good info, but I'll keep that in doubt until you confirm that. So: Total = 9 .
words, incredibly, B + C = A, with the fair.
The outlook is so favorable to the government that if it does not change last-minute developments, the only chance that the project back to Members is that absolutely all these heterogeneous 9 agree to vote "no" in a item together with the other 26 in group B are then 35 to 35, Cobos tie against and then it changed. Medially as hard as profitable if it occurs. The next day covers alone would be written.
What item can be put all 9 of agreement? Consider the candidates:
14: enforcement authority
32: award of licenses
45: multiple licenses
161: term adequacy (disinvestment), now one year after
regulated
With 45 no chances. The "liberals"-PS, Tierra del Fuego-insurance support it. Are the other 3, where there is more consensus. But one missing, someone who gets up to pee suspiciously when rate the article (has happened before, etc.)., or one of the 9 to approve it and pass.
fueguinos If confirmed its support in particular as claimed parlamentario.com, and pass all the project is law. They take bets. I suspect that the negotiations for the law that protects the industry from Tierra del Fuego, for which, conversely now, the needs of FPV fueguino ARI should have been the most discussed issue in several talks on a cell phone this week .
* the project as it will be discussed today with the changes that were made in Members, is available here in a long-winded. Pdf or here in a precarious . Doc that has the advantage of having these changes marked with different font
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